How complex do models need to be to predict dispersal of threatened species through matrix habitats?
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Persistence of species in fragmented landscapes depends on dispersal among suitable breeding sites, and dispersal is often influenced by the ‘‘matrix’’ ... |
The elephant, the blind, and the intersectoral intercomparison of climate impacts
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1st paragraph: When decision makers discuss anthropogenic climate change, they often ignore the mighty elephant in the room, namely the question of what global ... |
How does climate change influence demographic processes of widespread species? Lessons from the comparative analysis of contrasted populations of roe deer
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How populations respond to climate change depends on the interplay between life history, resource avail- ability, and the intensity of the change. Roe deer are ... |
From sink to source: Regional variation in U.S. forest carbon futures
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The sequestration of atmospheric carbon (C) in forests has partially offset C emissions in the United States (US) and might reduce overall costs of achieving em... |
The floodplain large-wood cycle hypothesis: A mechanism for the physical and biotic structuring of temperate forested alluvial valleys in the North Pacific coastal ecoregion
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A ‘floodplain large-wood cycle’ is hypothesized as a mechanism for generating landforms and influencing river dynamics in ways that structure and maintain r... |
The floodplain large-wood cycle hypothesis: A mechanism for the physical and biotic structuring of temperate forested alluvial valleys in the North Pacific coastal ecoregion
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A ‘floodplain large-wood cycle’ is hypothesized as a mechanism for generating landforms and influencing river dynamics in ways that structure and maintain r... |
Modeling sediment accumulation in North American playa wetlands in response to climate change, 1940–2100
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Playa wetlands on the west-central Great Plains of North America are vulnerable to sediment infilling from upland agriculture, putting at risk several important... |
Commentary: The climate policy narrative for a dangerously warming world
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It is time to acknowledge that global average temperatures are likely to rise above the 2 °C policy target and consider how that deeply troubling prospect shou... |
Enhanced Seasonal Exchange of CO2 by Northern Ecosystems Since 1960
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Seasonal variations of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) in the Northern Hemisphere have increased since the 1950s, but sparse observations have prevented a clea... |
Water-controlled wealth of nations
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Population growth is in general constrained by food production, which in turn depends on the access to water resources. At a country level, some populations use... |
Soil food web properties explain ecosystem services across European land use systems
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Intensive land use reduces the diversity and abundance of many soil biota, with consequences for the processes that they govern and the ecosystem services that ... |
Limits to adaptation
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An actor-centered, risk-based approach to defining limits to social adaptation provides a useful analytic framing for identifying and anticipating these limits ... |
The Technology Path to Deep Greenhouse Gas Emissions Cuts by 2050: The Pivotal Role of Electricity
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Several states and countries have adopted targets for deep reductions in greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, but there has been little physically realistic modeli... |
Downstream Warming and Headwater Acidity May Diminish Coldwater Habitat in Southern Appalachian Mountain Streams
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Stream-dwelling species in the U.S. southern Appalachian Mountains region are particularly vulnerable to climate change and acidification. The objectives of thi... |
Global shifts towards positive species interactions with increasing environmental stress
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The study of positive species interactions is a rapidly evolving field in ecology. Despite decades of research, controversy has emerged as to whether positive a... |
Adaptive management of biological systems: A review
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Adaptive Management (AM) is widely considered to be the best available approach for managing biolog- ical systems in the presence of uncertainty. But AM has arg... |
Tree spatial patterns in fire-frequent forests of western North America, including mechanisms of pattern formation and implications for designing fuel reduction and restoration treatments
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Restoring characteristic fire regimes and forest structures are central objectives of many restoration and fuel reduction projects. Within-stand spatial pattern... |
Global change and conservation triage on National Wildlife Refuges
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National Wildlife Refuges (NWRs) in the United States play an important role in the adaptation of social-ecological systems to climate change, land-use change,... |
Habitat fragmentation and its lasting impact on Earth’s ecosystems
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We conducted an analysis of global forest cover to reveal that 70% of remaining forest is within 1 km of the forest’s edge, subject to the degrading effects o... |
Desert grassland responses to climate and soil moisture suggest divergent vulnerabilities across the southwestern United States
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Climate change predictions include warming and drying trends, which are expected to be particularly pronounced in the southwestern United States. In this region... |